Sains Malaysiana 29: 63-79 (2000)                                                                                                  Pengajian Kuantitatif/

Quantitative Studies

Model Umur Berkahwin Pertama di Jawa dan Bali

(First Marriage Age Model in Jawa and Bali)

Hadi Sumarno

Jiurusan Statistika

Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam

Institut Pertanian Bogor

Jalan Raya Pajajaran, Bogor, Indonesia

Abdul Aziz Jemain

Wan Norsiah Mohamed

Pusat Pengajian Sains Matematik

Fakulti Sains dan Teknologi

Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia

43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor D.E., Malaysia

ABSTRAK

Umur perkahwinan wanita adalah satu daripada faktor penting dalam menentukan tingkat fertiliti. Banyak kajian yang dilakukan dalam rangka menjelaskan corak perkahwinan mengikut umur, kohort, dan faktor sosioekonomi. Satu daripada model yang sering digunakan untuk menjelaskan corak perkahwinan ialah model Coale-McNeil. Tujuan kajian ini ialah untuk menjelaskan corak perkahwinan di Jawa dan Bali, menggunakan model Coale-McNeil. Data yang digunakan dalam kajian ini berasaskan data Survai Demografi dan Kesihatan Indonesia 1991. Hasil kajian menunjukkan wujudnya variasi purata umur berkahwin yang cukup besar antara propinsi di Jawa dan Bali.

ABSTRACT

Women's age of marriage is one of the important proximate determinants of fertility. A lot of research has been done to explain the marriage pattern across age, cohort, and socioeconomic factors. One of the powerful models that is often used is the Coale-McNeil model. The purpose of this study is to determine the Java and Bali marriage patterns using the Coale-McNeil model. The data used were based on the 1991 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey. The study finds that there is a large variation in the mean age of the first marriage across provinces.

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